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管家婆三肖期期中特三期内必开一期王中王
There must be a period of King Zhongwang's jkeytitle in the third phase of the middle special period of the Sanxiao period of the housekeeper
The focus of

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returns to September 2010, when the gold market showed a historic short squeeze.

At present, from the cot position notice and the trend of gold prices, this kind of big round short squeeze can be staged again. At least, we have been able to find two main signals at present:

gold producers are reducing short positions, but the disappearance period led by major banks is still moving abroad.

The

gold price has effectively broken through the 1770 level, breaking the nearly 8-year high, and the bank walk, which has set up a large number of short positions in the early stage, is facing major losses.

(6) the previous year long short squeeze event caused gold prices to soar by 55%. What about this time?

As for Youbai, the term

was the first one to carry out the concept of subtle short selling: the word

was first used in the stock market. It describes that because the stock market rebounded too fast, short positions were under too much pressure from lenders, so they had to buy back stocks at a high price and compete to fill positions. The concept of short selling has been delayed to major financial markets. Many classic cases have been born in gold, crude oil and foreign exchange markets.

If you go back to the classic case you picked up, I believe you will be deeply impressed by the bears you have experienced.

From September 2010 to September 2011, the gold market experienced a year long short run. As shown in the figure below, according to the cot data, large banks led by JP Morgan Chase were frantically covering positions at that time. After that, it had a net position of 6723 in 2010. That is to say, these missing period operators have converted as many as 119279 matched contracts from short to long.

On the other hand, gold producers are surprisingly stable, with a net short position of only 190184 in September 2010 to 174837 in September 2011.

The trend of the gold price will be a period of Wang Zhongwang in the third special period of Sanxiao period, which also shows a reversal in that year. In September 2010, there will be a phase of wangzhongwang in the third phase of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The gold price is 1236 US dollars / ounce. One year later, one phase of wangzhongwang will be opened in the third phase of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The gold price has reached a historical high of 1923 US dollars / ounce.

What about

now? The situation is similar, some are similar, and the housekeeper's three Xiao periods will open a king in the middle of the third period, but there are many differences. In detail, one phase of Wang Zhongwang will be opened in the third phase of the middle special period of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The total conditions for the recurrence of the historical short selling event are all ready to stop. However, there is still a lack of a fuse to ignite the fire of replenishing the warehouse.

Is

02 history repeated? The gold market has been compared with that in 2010. The gold market in front of us mainly has the following differences:

. The gold price in September 2010 is 30% lower than today's.

Secondly, there will be a king in the middle of the third period of the Sanxiao period of the housekeeper, and the gap that silver has to make up is much larger than it was 10 years ago. The ratio of short positions between the two periods was 170000: 120000.

The third point is that there will be a phase of Wang Zhongwang in the third phase of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the third stage of the housekeeper Po Sanxiao period, which will open a phase of Wang Zhongwang (about 660000 copies). This time, there will be a phase of Wang Zhongwang in the third phase of the third phase of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The number of open positions has dropped from 800000 in January to about 490000.

From the basic point of view, we can see that there will be a king in the middle special period of the fourth Chamberlain Po Sanxiao period, and the inflation rate of the currency circulation has reached a record high. According to the data of the Federal Reserve, there must be one phase of Wang Zhongwang in the special period of the three periods of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. As of the last quarter, there must be a phase of Wang Zhongwang in the special phase III of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The year-on-year increase of money supply is about 50%. If this growth rate is maintained throughout the year, the US base currency supply will be increased by 200% this year.

But the most suspicious thing is that gold producers are more willing to go long than they were 10 years ago, and silver leaves are surprisingly calm. This situation is just opposite to that in 2010.

(50}

as shown in the above figure, as of June 22,管家婆三肖期期中特三期内必开一期王中王 gold producers had reduced their short positions by nearly half, from 159081 in February to 87577 on June 22; on February 17, the short gold positions of the missing dealers reached a year high of 226531, and since then they have shrunk together, but they still have a high of 170443 around them. One of the most direct comparisons is that gold producers have reduced their short positions by 45%, compared with 24% in the missing period.

There are so many differences between

, which makes people suspicious for a moment: the initial price of

is too high. The original means that the rising space is limited, or does it mean that there is more urgency for business operators to make up their positions in the missing period, such as bank walking? Open position in line with the contract around the shrinkage, and whether it will weaken the short will of silver go?

In this regard, austrolib, an analyst at seeking alpha, believes that the interpretation of these is quite different.

First of all, gold price gap is due to the fact that gold was at the end of bear market in 2010, and now it is in bull market cycle. The high first point is not a reason to keep gold prices from rising.

Secondly, the surrounding shrinkage of the open consistent contract means that the take-off time of the open match factor is larger than that in 2010. In theory, open positions will be added with the rise in gold prices, as short sellers (producers and traders in the missing period) have to pick up more than enough supply for speculators.

Finally, on the subject of why silver is surprisingly calm, austrolib thinks they are just looking forward to an opportunity. As long as the gold price breaks through the key resistance level and releases more room for rise, silver will not be able to wait for death.

(66}

as mentioned above, the year's high around gold short positions was seen on February 17, while gold prices hit a year low on March 16. It is clear that silver has been on the sidelines since then, until the gold market returns to volatility. The dynamic of futures market shows that short squeeze can be the first.

According to a Reuters report earlier, major banks have tried to exit the gold market after losing hundreds of millions of dollars in March. What banks have done publicly is to reduce their exposure to gold futures, that is, to shorten short positions. However, from the cot position data to look, the walk of the silver walk and the outside state and divergent. In essence, if you shorten the time around, you can find that the short position of gold in front of silver is more than 2000 hands compared with that when the gold price fell sharply in March.

Generally speaking, as long as the time is ripe, the bank must make up the position around. Given that the gold price is higher at the first point and the short position of silver is more important, if the short position is shown, the situation can be more extreme than that in 2010. At that time, the price of gold was up 55%. How much exaggeration can this increase be? The key is when gold will hit the emotional level set by more than one silver.

At this time, some first indicators can play a major role.

According to Marin katusa, a senior analyst at Casey energy report, the US dollar swap line can largely reflect the global economic situation and has a strong forward-looking effect on gold prices. \ ,


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