U.S. and cloth oil rose and fell. WTI crude oil rose continuously during the European session， with the highest rise of more than 3%. However， it was the first to fall sharply in the evening. The EIA inventory data beneficial to the expectation could not recover the decline， and finally closed down slightly. Brent crude oil also accelerated in the European session， up more than 3%， although the late gains narrowed.
In the foreign exchange market， although the US index fell slightly by 0.24% on Wednesday， it has closed down for three consecutive business days and the 97 level is also on the verge of falling. After the sharp rise on Tuesday， the pound showed a strong showing of the record number of the winning number in the three month period of the housekeeper yesterday. The exchange rate of the pound against the U.S. dollar reached 1.2490 in the day. Recently， it looked to break the 1.25 barrier.(1) after the ADP employment data show a significant reversal， will there be any surprise for non-agricultural workers tonight?
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the historical records of the number of non-agricultural workers and the rate of non-agricultural employment after the adjustment in June at 20:30 this evening due to the influence of the self-reliance Japanese puppet period. The number of people in the United States who applied for the tax payment at the beginning of the week from June 27 to June 27 was also released at the same time. The market believes that the non-agricultural data will record a strong historical record of special Liuhe lottery number in the period of housekeeper's Sanxiao period. The number of non-agricultural employment is expected to increase by 3 million people， which is higher than the previous value of 1.509 million. The unemployment rate is expected to be 12.3%， which is lower than 13.3% of the previous value It is expected that the number of people who first applied for the unemployment allowance is 1355000， which is lower than the previous value of 1.48 million.
A large wave of employment data hit the housekeeper three Xiao period of the special six he lottery number historical record， trust the market will not be stable.
Last night， the ADP employment in June recorded an additional 2.369 million housekeepers， and the previous value was significantly revised to add 3.065 million housekeepers. It can be seen that the US employment market has really experienced the most difficult time. After the release of the Heifei farmers， the historical records of the special Liuhe lottery number of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period， the spot gold short-term dive of $8， and the fall of the 1780 level， the historical record of the mid special Liuhe lottery number of the housekeeper's Sanxiao period. Investors should be careful of the shock of gold and silver after the announcement of the big feinong tonight.
However， some analysis points out that the historical record of the number of new non-agricultural employment and the rate of unemployment announced tonight is consistent with the market expectation， which does not mean that the U.S. employment market has been revived in detail. If we want to refresh the record of 20.5 million jobs shortened by a record in the United States in April， even if the number of non-agricultural workers keeps increasing for two months， it is far from enough to fill this major gap.
In an interview with business insider， Joe brusurelas， RSM's chief economist， told business insider that the authorities still have a lot to do to calm the job market. In addition to the recovery of normal economic transport as soon as possible， the slowdown or even stagnation of wage growth is also a problem to be solved.
What is worth noticing is that last night's announcement showed a surprising scene: the former value increased from - 2.76 million to 3.065 million， with an increase of 5.825 million. Analysts pointed out that the operation of many institutions affected by the epidemic situation showed problems. As a result， in recent months， the straight line of various investigation notices has been reduced， and wrong classification can lead to an increase in the unemployment rate.
Therefore， investors should not only focus on the number of non-agricultural employment notice issued tonight， but also pay more attention to the increase and decrease of jobs， and the employment opportunities of various types and surrounding industries. Only a thorough analysis of these contents can we truly understand the situation of the U.S. employment market.
(2) Saudi Arabia is threatening to fight a price war again!
On Wednesday night，管家婆三肖期期中特六合开奖号码历史记录 a news item in the oil market got the salesmen's attention: according to the market news， Saudi Arabia is threatening Angola and Nigeria with a new oil price war to urge the latter to make production cuts.
According to Jin Shi， some news sources said that Saudi energy minister Abdel Aziz would send an \
Some analysts have pointed out that Saudi Arabia's pressure on the two young countries， Angola and Nigeria， is due to two layers of anxiety:
First， OPEC and Russia have sometimes extended the record production reduction quota of 9.7 million barrels per day to August
Second， with the outbreak in one-sided countries in the west， the demand for crude oil can be shortened again.
For the first point， Saudi Arabia is not really a melancholy day. This week， news sources pointed out that OPEC and Russia could ease production cuts since the beginning of August.
Four OPEC + journalists leaked that with global oil demand reviving and oil prices rebounding from the low point， OPEC and Russia have been able to relax the previous record production reduction since the beginning of August. OPEC and its allies agreed to cut production by 9.7 million B / D from May to July， equivalent to 10% of global demand， reaching a record high around the reduction.
According to the above-mentioned news sources， OPEC and Russia have not yet reached a consultation on the extension and reduction of production until August， which means that the production reduction can be reduced to 7.7 million barrels / day.
As for the demand outlook， from now on， foreign countries have been affected too much. According to the latest data， PMI data of manufacturing industry in the euro area and the United States are clearly rebounding， which shows that the global manufacturing movement in June is clearly turning. With the recovery of manufacturing industry， crude oil demand should not show a cliff like decline again in a short time. However， in the case that there is little to see in strengthening the production reduction， the actual rate of production reduction in Saudi Arabia is fully understandable.
However， it is worth encouraging that market news showed that OPEC crude oil in June fell by 1.93 million B / D to 22.69 million B / D， the lowest level since 1991. According to a survey conducted by some institutions， due to the convergence of OPEC + production reduction formulation， the actual production reduction rate of OPEC member states in June was 107%.
From now on， OPEC member states have made great efforts to reduce production， and the supply and answer side's capacity is well controlled. Therefore， even if Saudi Arabia is not happy with Angola and Nigeria， I am afraid it will not rashly launch a new price war. This kind of coercion is more like a form of pressure.
(3) after falling more than US $30， gold is gradually moving away from the 1800 mark?
Gold bulls suffered a blow on Wednesday， spot gold in the U.S. session continued to fall， once fell to the 1760 level， down 30 U.S. dollars higher.
Craig erlam， senior market analyst at OANDA， said that the market had shown some negative signals， adding that the gold price was too high to pursue the rise legitimately. Therefore， more and more Bulls would choose to make money.
There are three main factors that have brought pressure on gold prices in the near future: first， the current benefits of children， non farmers and farmers are better than expected， which has been analyzed in detail and will not be repeated; second， there is new progress in vaccine research and development; third， the US Congress is ready to negotiate a new round of aid bill to continuously stimulate the economy.
In addition， the Senate has been allowed to extend the Senate's $660 billion solidarity program until August 8. It is reported that the plan is aimed at young enterprises affected by the epidemic. Infant enterprises are one of the most affected parts of the economy in the United States. At this time， the authorities can provide more support to help these enterprises tide over the difficulties and speed up the recovery of groups in the U.S. economy.(source: Jin Shi data) ，